Who's betting on “Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?”?
Politics · $2.4M volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
56% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
1,197 wallets hold a position worth $332K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,196 of them.
- Smart money share
- 56% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 197
- Money on it
- $173
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 67% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $332K
- Holders' winrate
- 82%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?"?
1,197 wallets hold a position worth $332K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,196 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.