Who's betting on “Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $342K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $342K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
53% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
229 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 229 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jo7373, with $23 on it, $592 lifetime loss over 15 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $3.1K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 810 markets (96% won).
- Smart money share
- 53%
- Holders
- 137
- Money on it
- $289
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 92
- Money on it
- $6.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jo7373 | $23 | -$592 | 20% of 15 |
| 0x61b9…c617 | $20 | -$884 | 60% of 5 |
| Bellangrinder | $17 | +$8.0K | 92% of 200 |
| RealRonnieTylernoise | $13 | +$1.1K | 27% of 59 |
| eme10noise | $13 | +$3.1K | 31% of 232 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| thoodrwhale | $3.1K | +$91K | 96% of 810 |
| Gdub | $1.2K | -$3.1K | 70% of 1,003 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $882 | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| TheEmprahwhale | $532 | +$35K | 70% of 213 |
| boredtradebalanced | $102 | +$370 | 92% of 73 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?"?
229 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 229 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jo7373, with $23 on it, $592 lifetime loss over 15 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $3.1K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 810 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $342K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.