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Who's betting on “Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $7.6M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $7.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

70% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.

1,374 wallets hold a position worth $90K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,374 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6e82…752c, with $6.7K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1, with $3.2K on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,500 markets (65% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on No.

Yes3%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
70%
Holders
514
Money on it
$80K
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money share
21%
Holders
860
Money on it
$10.0K
Holders' winrate
62%
Snipers
1 · $1
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x6e82…752cwhale$6.7K+$1.5M79% of 1,000
BabyKangroowhale$5.4K+$49K74% of 128
11122noise$4.3K+$630K42% of 1,111
iamgoooood$4.3K+$71100% of 2
NAH777balanced$3.8K+$7691% of 22
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1$3.2K-$19K65% of 1,500
WALLYFIGHTS$1.2K-$112K73% of 387
hotcatcatbalanced$679+$33853% of 72
BrodyOPUR$417-$23642% of 24
5647874676$330-$36729% of 17
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

1,374 wallets hold a position worth $90K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,374 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6e82…752c, with $6.7K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1, with $3.2K on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,500 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $7.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo