Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?”?
Politics · $411K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 81¢ and No at 20¢, an 81% implied chance of Yes. $411K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
93% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
401 wallets hold a position worth $173K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 401 of them. The largest Yes holder is scottilicious, with $34K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is HD45, with $1.2K on it, $8.1K lifetime loss over 17 markets (88% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on Yes; 2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $339 on No.
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 275
- Money on it
- $159K
- Holders' winrate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.6K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 61%
- Holders
- 126
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 2 · $339
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| scottiliciouswhale | $34K | +$1.5M | 83% of 1,009 |
| SlavaUkrainiwhale | $24K | +$726K | 75% of 288 |
| 0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918whale | $11K | +$1.6K | 91% of 104 |
| Yirmeyahuwhale | $8.1K | +$12K | 65% of 141 |
| SAPolitcsSeerwhale | $8.1K | +$64K | 92% of 83 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HD45 | $1.2K | -$8.1K | 88% of 17 |
| lissartter | $1.1K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| Hyperlong | $1.0K | -$75K | 52% of 1,268 |
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938noise | $1.0K | +$105K | 38% of 6,018 |
| peepeepooppoopwhale | $897 | +$8.5K | 65% of 1,377 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?"?
401 wallets hold a position worth $173K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 401 of them. The largest Yes holder is scottilicious, with $34K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is HD45, with $1.2K on it, $8.1K lifetime loss over 17 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 81¢ and No at 20¢, an 81% implied chance of Yes. $411K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.