Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?”?
Politics · $391K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $391K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
83% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 15 points.
264 wallets hold a position worth $51K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 264 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $13K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN, with $6.6K on it, $714K lifetime profit over 1,203 markets (72% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $5 on No.
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 158
- Money on it
- $29K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 85% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $5
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKenwhale | $13K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| JSG3 | $1.5K | +$10K | 75% of 16 |
| lugwhale | $1.4K | +$54K | 54% of 1,207 |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf | $1.0K | -$33K | 0% of 1 |
| popwhale | $1.0K | +$27K | 69% of 293 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANwhale | $6.6K | +$714K | 72% of 1,203 |
| TradeDeficitArchitectwhale | $5.1K | +$189K | 61% of 1,006 |
| cambridgeisaacwhale | $1.6K | +$68K | 57% of 1,099 |
| Sorrowful-Surround | $715 | -$28K | 93% of 201 |
| newfeeling02 | $644 | -$1.9K | 76% of 216 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?"?
264 wallets hold a position worth $51K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 264 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $13K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN, with $6.6K on it, $714K lifetime profit over 1,203 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $391K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.