Who's betting on “Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?”?
Politics · $2.7M volume · Ends September 14, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 25¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $2.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
73% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
1,471 wallets hold a position worth $631K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,471 of them. The largest Yes holder is thegreatjeff, with $41K on it, $178K lifetime loss over 29 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is madmartigan5, with $14K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 60 markets (78% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.8K on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4 on No.
- Smart money share
- 73%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $544K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 2 · $3.8K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 51%
- Holders
- 471
- Money on it
- $87K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| thegreatjeff | $41K | -$178K | 97% of 29 |
| Siddhartha1whale | $29K | +$259K | 90% of 71 |
| MemeKing20 | $28K | +$52K | 23% of 13 |
| flawfencewhale | $24K | +$480K | 75% of 478 |
| odyssey33 | $24K | -$50K | 83% of 6 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| madmartigan5whale | $14K | +$14K | 78% of 60 |
| 0xc52C66B83bEce173ECd56d6C3e595C516698Ac6E-1789391735322 | $8.2K | +$0 | - |
| justtryingtosurvive | $6.7K | +$50K | 88% of 8 |
| JGripen | $6.6K | -$694 | 0% of 2 |
| Arvid2 | $3.5K | -$414 | 37% of 99 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Ulf Kristersson$2.0M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Jimmie Åkesson$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Nooshi Dadgostar$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Ebba Busch$934K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist$572K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Simona Mohamsson$372K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Helldén$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anna-Karin Hatt$312K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Amanda Lind$136K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
1,471 wallets hold a position worth $631K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,471 of them. The largest Yes holder is thegreatjeff, with $41K on it, $178K lifetime loss over 29 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is madmartigan5, with $14K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 60 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 25¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $2.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.