Who's betting on “Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?”?
Politics · $2.0M volume · Ends September 14, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $2.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
26% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
1,121 wallets hold a position worth $192K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,118 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc52C66B83bEce173ECd56d6C3e595C516698Ac6E-1789391735322, with $17K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is anoin123, with $11K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on No.
- Smart money share
- 26%
- Holders
- 692
- Money on it
- $98K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 61%
- Holders
- 429
- Money on it
- $94K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc52C66B83bEce173ECd56d6C3e595C516698Ac6E-1789391735322 | $17K | +$0 | - |
| JGripen | $6.6K | -$694 | 0% of 2 |
| justtryingtosurvive | $3.8K | +$50K | 88% of 8 |
| ByTrade | $2.8K | +$0 | - |
| sebastianwallin | $2.7K | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $11K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| Gaditima | $6.9K | -$460K | 49% of 10,490 |
| 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758 | $5.5K | -$7.0K | 50% of 604 |
| Valen9whale | $4.8K | +$233K | 62% of 895 |
| Tenebrus7whale | $4.6K | +$155K | 66% of 1,516 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson$2.7M vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Jimmie Åkesson$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Nooshi Dadgostar$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Ebba Busch$934K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist$572K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Simona Mohamsson$372K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Helldén$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anna-Karin Hatt$312K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Amanda Lind$136K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
1,121 wallets hold a position worth $192K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,118 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc52C66B83bEce173ECd56d6C3e595C516698Ac6E-1789391735322, with $17K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is anoin123, with $11K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $2.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.