Who's betting on “Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?”?
Politics · $136K volume · Ends September 14, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
87% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
144 wallets hold a position worth $366 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 144 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $44 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $115 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 87%
- Holders
- 128
- Money on it
- $182
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 80%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $184
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazywhale | $44 | +$32K | 47% of 264 |
| donthackmenoise | $21 | +$911K | 29% of 69,871 |
| lissartter | $12 | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| balthazarwhale | $11 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,232 |
| classifiedwhale | $10 | +$1.1M | 58% of 1,412 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $115 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| GobiDesertCanoePro | $19 | -$9.2K | 83% of 203 |
| wokerjoesleeperwhale | $17 | +$592K | 92% of 1,074 |
| Mrpeace4 | $10 | -$19 | 70% of 20 |
| fhgfd4fhbalanced | $8 | +$154 | 97% of 78 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson$2.7M vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Ulf Kristersson$2.0M vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Jimmie Åkesson$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Nooshi Dadgostar$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Ebba Busch$934K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist$572K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Simona Mohamsson$372K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Helldén$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anna-Karin Hatt$312K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
144 wallets hold a position worth $366 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 144 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $44 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $115 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.