Who's betting on “Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?”?
Politics · $934K volume · Ends September 14, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $934K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
25% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
386 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 384 of them. The largest Yes holder is Flingsalt, with $2.1K on it, $13 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Glome, with $1.2K on it, $2.8K lifetime profit over 323 markets (84% won).
- Smart money share
- 25%
- Holders
- 168
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 43% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 218
- Money on it
- $9.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flingsalt | $2.1K | -$13 | 0% of 1 |
| Flussen | $1.9K | +$0 | - |
| Spermwhaler | $1.0K | -$895 | 45% of 29 |
| Lanteans | $987 | -$4 | 100% of 15 |
| lissartter | $968 | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glomebalanced | $1.2K | +$2.8K | 84% of 323 |
| 0x1fd0…c6a7 | $1.1K | -$7.9K | 80% of 267 |
| soll2 | $1.0K | -$5.8K | 62% of 165 |
| vaporfergrinder | $960 | +$7.0K | 92% of 207 |
| blunderbot | $813 | -$5.0K | 91% of 244 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson$2.7M vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Ulf Kristersson$2.0M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Jimmie Åkesson$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Nooshi Dadgostar$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist$572K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Simona Mohamsson$372K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Helldén$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anna-Karin Hatt$312K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Amanda Lind$136K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
386 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 384 of them. The largest Yes holder is Flingsalt, with $2.1K on it, $13 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Glome, with $1.2K on it, $2.8K lifetime profit over 323 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $934K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.