Who's betting on “Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?”?
Politics · $551K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $551K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
93% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 57 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
255 wallets hold a position worth $395K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 252 of them. The largest Yes holder is LulaVaiPerder, with $165K on it, $507K lifetime profit over 443 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $48K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $481 on No.
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 134
- Money on it
- $313K
- Holders' winrate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 36% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 121
- Money on it
- $81K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $481
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| LulaVaiPerderwhale | $165K | +$507K | 79% of 443 |
| Votei14Voude22whale | $87K | +$715K | 80% of 480 |
| 65765757whale | $21K | +$256K | 82% of 390 |
| MissaoComFlavio | $6.2K | -$157K | 82% of 358 |
| themainbalanced | $5.5K | +$19K | 89% of 37 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $48K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| dromedaryywhale | $12K | +$450K | 66% of 47 |
| lava-lavawhale | $4.9K | +$995K | 46% of 1,585 |
| flawfencewhale | $2.4K | +$480K | 75% of 478 |
| lissartter | $1.8K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?"?
255 wallets hold a position worth $395K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 252 of them. The largest Yes holder is LulaVaiPerder, with $165K on it, $507K lifetime profit over 443 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $48K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $551K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 57 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.