Who's betting on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?”?
Politics · $347K volume · Ends December 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $347K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
77% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
319 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 314 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xaa57…3991, with $4.3K on it. The largest No holder is Natstar777, with $3.9K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 95 markets (60% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $260 on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $3.7K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 77% ▼ 14 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 132
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $260
- Insider flags
- 1 · $3.7K
- Smart money share
- 64% ▼ 6 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 187
- Money on it
- $51K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaa57…3991 | $4.3K | - | - |
| OldZz | $1.7K | -$7.4K | 66% of 177 |
| Carwhale | $1.5K | +$1.5M | 58% of 1,670 |
| OpenSourceIntelnoise | $1.3K | +$36K | 36% of 343 |
| Newshoundwhale | $1.0K | +$67K | 72% of 1,043 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natstar777 | $3.9K | -$1.7K | 60% of 95 |
| 0xE87F2c8DB31af60D9B8FB28bC390fD891cB67d85-1767548376380 | $3.7K | -$8.0K | 81% of 54 |
| PashaAsOraculbalanced | $2.6K | +$9.0K | 74% of 89 |
| BuddhaYTorrancewhale | $2.6K | +$61K | 98% of 87 |
| 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960whale | $2.6K | +$98K | 64% of 380 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
- October 31$5.9M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- December 31$4.0M vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- March 31$154K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money split
- September 30$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 15$3.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Who's betting on US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?"?
319 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 314 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xaa57…3991, with $4.3K on it. The largest No holder is Natstar777, with $3.9K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 95 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $347K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($3.7K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.