Who's betting on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?”?
Politics · $154K volume · Ends April 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 42¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
86% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
244 wallets hold a position worth $34K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 241 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $2.3K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,670 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $2.7K on it, $283K lifetime profit over 1,436 markets (58% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4 on No.
- Smart money share
- 86% ▲ 11 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 122
- Money on it
- $20K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 85%
- Holders
- 122
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carwhale | $2.3K | +$1.5M | 58% of 1,670 |
| 0xff7c…b233whale | $2.1K | +$59K | 67% of 467 |
| 0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136balanced | $2.0K | +$137 | 74% of 404 |
| OkieDokiePeonwhale | $1.8K | +$25K | 43% of 1,307 |
| Ludoeaglewhale | $924 | +$14K | 68% of 298 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| paddaawhale | $2.7K | +$283K | 58% of 1,436 |
| 0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451whale | $2.6K | +$193K | 66% of 614 |
| VinolinGnoise | $866 | +$65 | 44% of 104 |
| KnightianUncertaintybalanced | $682 | +$1.8K | 66% of 41 |
| mamai | $606 | -$28K | 59% of 657 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
- October 31$5.9M vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- December 31$4.0M vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$347K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 15$3.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Who's betting on US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?"?
244 wallets hold a position worth $34K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 241 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $2.3K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,670 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $2.7K on it, $283K lifetime profit over 1,436 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 42¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.