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Who's betting on “Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $1.8M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

93% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

207 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them. The largest Yes holder is tsihkodiives, with $2.0K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 476 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is ghorrock, with $68 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 30,141 markets (64% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
93%
Holders
190
Money on it
$9.1K
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
72%
Holders
17
Money on it
$143
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
tsihkodiiveswhale$2.0K+$26K83% of 476
aosdijfwhale$1.7K+$5.8K66% of 77
Brokiewhale$1.1K+$180K59% of 906
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale$1.1K+$228K71% of 202
bernardbulletinwhale$380+$189K75% of 1,110
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ghorrockwhale$68+$7.8K64% of 30,141
0f7a$20-$50163% of 91
uiku78$13+$5369% of 13
MHMH6$13-$3456% of 16
JeanCook301$8+$035% of 40
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

207 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them. The largest Yes holder is tsihkodiives, with $2.0K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 476 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is ghorrock, with $68 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 30,141 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo