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Who's betting on “Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $14M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

78% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.

1,999 wallets hold a position worth $540K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,996 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerbertAppreciator, with $98K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 38 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 20faj2, with $7.9K on it, $28K lifetime loss over 1,010 markets (88% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $627 on Yes; 5 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $263 on No.

Yes16%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
78%
Holders
1,000
Money on it
$500K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
1 · $627
Insider flags
0
No84%
Smart money share
51%
Holders
999
Money on it
$41K
Holders' winrate
70%
Snipers
5 · $263
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
HerbertAppreciatorwhale$98K+$11K82% of 38
SlavaUkrainiwhale$39K+$726K75% of 288
MSKW22222$37K+$3.7K100% of 1
chickendillanoise$25K+$5.0K39% of 70
ISMS2222noise$20K+$124K48% of 120
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
20faj2$7.9K-$28K88% of 1,010
rdbawhale$4.2K+$485K71% of 248
0xd640…480c$4.1K-$69K58% of 251
ImJustKenwhale$4.1K+$2.3M65% of 1,065
xiamms$2.2K+$19275% of 8
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

1,999 wallets hold a position worth $540K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,996 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerbertAppreciator, with $98K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 38 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 20faj2, with $7.9K on it, $28K lifetime loss over 1,010 markets (88% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

78% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo