Who's betting on “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $497K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $497K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
27% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
636 wallets hold a position worth $94K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 633 of them. The largest Yes holder is MinevaJ, with $4.3K on it, $13K lifetime loss over 1,317 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is plumbis, with $17K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 154 markets (64% won).
- Smart money share
- 27% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 358
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 78% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 278
- Money on it
- $80K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| MinevaJ | $4.3K | -$13K | 76% of 1,317 |
| Danielj | $990 | +$4.8K | 100% of 4 |
| NERA | $488 | -$49K | 47% of 205 |
| buoyswhale | $476 | +$83K | 46% of 1,183 |
| AbsoluteDestroyer | $375 | -$8.4K | 22% of 228 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| plumbiswhale | $17K | +$54K | 64% of 154 |
| knradwhale | $10K | +$37K | 62% of 1,107 |
| whigwhale | $6.8K | +$304K | 60% of 1,119 |
| DiaMatbalanced | $4.3K | +$5.2K | 92% of 109 |
| iHaveBeenPwned | $3.8K | +$5 | 100% of 1 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?"?
636 wallets hold a position worth $94K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 633 of them. The largest Yes holder is MinevaJ, with $4.3K on it, $13K lifetime loss over 1,317 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is plumbis, with $17K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 154 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $497K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.