Who's betting on “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?”?

Politics · $10K volume · Ends February 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 40¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.

34% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points.

33 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is attempt-most, with $536 on it, $44K lifetime loss over 620 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is alwaysOn, with $657 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,020 markets (75% won).

Yes61%
Smart money share
34%
Holders
16
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No40%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
90%
Holders
17
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
attempt-most$536-$44K79% of 620
suraxynoise$463+$37K34% of 1,403
Haradwaith$226-$334K50% of 45,650
furdus09$215-$13367% of 123
0xwordjnn$158-$21K8% of 896
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
alwaysOnwhale$657+$28K75% of 1,020
adenakoz1noise$395+$11K29% of 229
lissartter$42-$270K56% of 2,742
Malganiswhale$40+$4.1K47% of 1,102
foxy4$39-$15K45% of 876
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?"?

33 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is attempt-most, with $536 on it, $44K lifetime loss over 620 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is alwaysOn, with $657 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,020 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 40¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

34% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo