Who's betting on “US strike on Colombia by December 31?”?
Politics · $1.2M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
80% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 37 points.
851 wallets hold a position worth $78K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 851 of them. The largest Yes holder is tetrose, with $2.8K on it, $213K lifetime profit over 565 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is TheEmprah, with $16K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 213 markets (70% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $42 on No.
- Smart money share
- 80% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 352
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' winrate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 48% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 499
- Money on it
- $59K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $42
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| tetrosewhale | $2.8K | +$213K | 55% of 565 |
| de5nutswhale | $2.4K | +$154K | 46% of 307 |
| crypto-basenjiwhale | $1.7K | +$8.2K | 47% of 339 |
| LiquidatedDegenwhale | $1.5K | +$93K | 74% of 1,127 |
| PaddyAlphawhale | $1.1K | +$55K | 70% of 380 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheEmprahwhale | $16K | +$35K | 70% of 213 |
| 0x6c10…df5c | $8.6K | -$62K | 66% of 1,056 |
| placerv2 | $5.8K | -$3.5K | 47% of 36 |
| Doppelpack | $5.0K | -$892 | 89% of 35 |
| dfdvbjgdhbh | $2.3K | -$10K | 65% of 20 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?"?
851 wallets hold a position worth $78K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 851 of them. The largest Yes holder is tetrose, with $2.8K on it, $213K lifetime profit over 565 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is TheEmprah, with $16K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 213 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US strike on Colombia by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.