polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $19M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

51% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.

1,042 wallets hold a position worth $70K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,042 of them. The largest Yes holder is wesmooreluvr, with $14K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 7 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is rdba, with $686 on it, $485K lifetime profit over 248 markets (71% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share
51%
Holders
556
Money on it
$65K
Holders' winrate
51%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
63% ▲ 24 pts 24 h
Holders
486
Money on it
$5.2K
Holders' winrate
68%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
wesmooreluvr$14K-$3.0K29% of 7
ISMS2222noise$6.1K+$124K48% of 120
VorVZakone$5.2K-$1.5M41% of 41
fsx45whale$4.8K+$81K71% of 399
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740$3.6K-$402K82% of 502
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
rdbawhale$686+$485K71% of 248
loaway$355-$2567% of 21
innocentybalanced$294+$7.0K59% of 524
CryptoMancernoise$200+$38743% of 201
Stevenssss$199-$1438% of 26
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Who's betting on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

1,042 wallets hold a position worth $70K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,042 of them. The largest Yes holder is wesmooreluvr, with $14K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 7 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is rdba, with $686 on it, $485K lifetime profit over 248 markets (71% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

51% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo