Who's betting on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $14M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
48% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
1,999 wallets hold a position worth $330K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,997 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $23K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is lastminwin, with $52K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $671 on Yes; 4 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $239 on No.
- Smart money share
- 48%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $214K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 2 · $671
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 23%
- Holders
- 999
- Money on it
- $115K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 4 · $239
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooowhale | $23K | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| abf99 | $18K | +$0 | - |
| Yoriichi77 | $17K | -$20K | 53% of 30 |
| ClauseAI | $15K | +$0 | - |
| jwerhor | $9.2K | -$31K | 29% of 172 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lastminwin | $52K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| pegfault | $14K | -$9.9K | 80% of 44 |
| devin.lawson.77balanced | $8.2K | +$7.8K | 75% of 174 |
| huatimus | $4.7K | -$23K | 97% of 61 |
| enrico-vasaiowhale | $4.5K | +$24K | 65% of 1,061 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
1,999 wallets hold a position worth $330K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,997 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $23K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is lastminwin, with $52K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.