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Who's betting on “Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $884K volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $884K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

91% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

219 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $220 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is jgttrt, with $4 on it, $157 lifetime profit over 72 markets (17% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
91%
Holders
215
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
58%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
47%
Holders
4
Money on it
$16
Holders' winrate
22%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$220+$1.8M69% of 1,104
Brokiewhale$160+$180K59% of 906
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale$152+$228K71% of 202
11122noise$102+$630K42% of 1,111
LAROWnoise$100+$90049% of 78
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
jgttrtnoise$4+$15717% of 72
NoahHurst257$4-$040% of 45
DFDGFFF$4-$1934% of 83
StanleyColeman810$3+$032% of 38
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

219 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $220 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is jgttrt, with $4 on it, $157 lifetime profit over 72 markets (17% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $884K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

91% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo