Who's betting on “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?”?
Politics · $524K volume · Closed · Updated October 8, 2026
This market closed on October 8, 2026 and resolved Yes. $524K has been traded on it.
76% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
517 wallets hold a position worth $142K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 514 of them.
- Smart money share
- 76% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 397
- Money on it
- $142K
- Holders' winrate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 120
- Money on it
- $71
- Holders' winrate
- 47%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31$6.0M vol.Yes 83%No 18%Smart money split
- October 22$3.5M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- October 24$1.6M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money split
- November 30$890K vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- October 28$755K vol.Yes 90%No 11%Smart money: No
- December 31$737K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: Yes
- November 15$491K vol.Yes 48%No 53%Smart money: No
- November 8$141K vol.Yes 62%No 39%Smart money: Yes
- November 22$78K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: No
- September 30$2.5M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 15$2.1M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 12$2.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 17$766K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?$734K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- October 18$657K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 16$428K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 9$345K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 5$135K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?"?
517 wallets hold a position worth $142K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 514 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?"?
This market closed on October 8, 2026 and resolved Yes. $524K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 8, 2026 and resolved Yes. $524K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.