Who's betting on “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?”?
Politics · $135K volume · Closed · Updated October 8, 2026
This market closed on October 8, 2026 and resolved Yes. $135K has been traded on it.
87% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
175 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them.
- Smart money share
- 87% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 134
- Money on it
- $59K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 58% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $29
- Holders' winrate
- 43%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31$5.9M vol.Yes 80%No 20%Smart money split
- October 22$3.3M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- October 24$1.5M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- November 30$887K vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- December 31$734K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: Yes
- October 28$667K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- November 15$478K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: No
- November 8$139K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money: Yes
- November 22$70K vol.Yes 38%No 63%Smart money: No
- September 30$2.5M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 15$2.1M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 12$2.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 17$766K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?$734K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- October 18$657K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 7$524K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 16$428K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 9$345K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?"?
175 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?"?
This market closed on October 8, 2026 and resolved Yes. $135K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 8, 2026 and resolved Yes. $135K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.