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Who's betting on “Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?”?

Politics · $3.4M volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

42% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.

96 wallets hold a position worth $59 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $25 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is autemnullagra111, with $0 on it, $64 lifetime profit over 22 markets (45% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
42%
Holders
91
Money on it
$59
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
83%
Holders
5
Money on it
$0
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x50ea…010f$25-$2.1K27% of 181
Eatpraylovewhale$5+$517K62% of 1,033
Yelowyolonoise$5+$5.3K46% of 200
planktonXDwhale$3+$131K76% of 5,427
0xwhalesharknoise$2+$5.4K39% of 240
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
autemnullagra111noise$0+$6445% of 22
neutralwave23$0-$2.9M72% of 26,957
Tyshawhale$0+$27K46% of 8,347
YPaulHernandez$0+$033% of 6
Anon321321noise$0+$18K43% of 403
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

96 wallets hold a position worth $59 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $25 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is autemnullagra111, with $0 on it, $64 lifetime profit over 22 markets (45% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

42% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo