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Who's betting on “Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?”?

Politics · $437K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $437K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

44% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

92 wallets hold a position worth $156 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $25 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is Jedshouse, with $91 on it, $752 lifetime loss over 28 markets (96% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
44%
Holders
79
Money on it
$59
Holders' winrate
38%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
0%
Holders
13
Money on it
$97
Holders' winrate
95%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x50ea…010f$25-$2.1K27% of 181
0xwhalesharknoise$11+$5.4K39% of 240
Eatpraylovewhale$3+$517K62% of 1,033
Freedom-BYwhale$2+$1.5K74% of 242
balthazarwhale$2+$1.2M53% of 44,054
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Jedshouse$91-$75296% of 28
wallce2024$5-$4.1K94% of 200
0xa3f6…c142$1-$4.1K0% of 32
jidol29$0+$20933% of 33
Dimitribechtelardies$0-$22632% of 50
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

92 wallets hold a position worth $156 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $25 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is Jedshouse, with $91 on it, $752 lifetime loss over 28 markets (96% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $437K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

44% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo