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Who's betting on “Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?”?

Politics · $393K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $393K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

32% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.

84 wallets hold a position worth $174 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is RHFGFD, with $15 on it, $20 lifetime loss over 3 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is Omobatahat, with $91 on it, $79 lifetime loss over 4 markets (75% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
32%
Holders
73
Money on it
$59
Holders' winrate
44%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
1%
Holders
11
Money on it
$115
Holders' winrate
76%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
RHFGFD$15-$2033% of 3
0x6833…d9e8$14-$1523% of 13
Eatpraylovewhale$5+$517K62% of 1,033
mrtrumpnoise$2+$36K40% of 358
ClariseStarling007$2-$17635% of 20
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Omobatahat$91-$7975% of 4
COWberys$16-$6878% of 119
Wenkie3$7-$5.5K70% of 225
88mnm88whale$1+$12K100% of 214
LetTheGoodTimesRollwhale$0+$10K48% of 265
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

84 wallets hold a position worth $174 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is RHFGFD, with $15 on it, $20 lifetime loss over 3 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is Omobatahat, with $91 on it, $79 lifetime loss over 4 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $393K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

32% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo