Who's betting on “Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?
Politics · $8.5M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $8.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
4% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 51 points.
1,272 wallets hold a position worth $89K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,272 of them. The largest Yes holder is Chp420, with $19K on it, $22 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is last-train-2026, with $4.7K on it, $33 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $102 on No.
- Smart money share
- 4%
- Holders
- 273
- Money on it
- $43K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 61%
- Holders
- 999
- Money on it
- $46K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $102
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chp420 | $19K | -$22 | - |
| YuliaKyiv | $18K | -$11K | 62% of 1,555 |
| Maui1234 | $1.5K | +$0 | - |
| 0xcBB40C36b058414ADE61c0C5F7fc225Cf5A636c3-1759284706694 | $466 | -$864 | 77% of 35 |
| sleepy-panda | $465 | -$1.4M | 80% of 1,160 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| last-train-2026 | $4.7K | +$33 | 100% of 1 |
| DapperChapperwhale | $3.0K | +$112K | 66% of 1,000 |
| Polimak | $2.6K | -$22 | 43% of 23 |
| J-E-Rwhale | $2.5K | +$249K | 52% of 642 |
| babyshark. | $2.5K | -$663 | 59% of 213 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
1,272 wallets hold a position worth $89K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,272 of them. The largest Yes holder is Chp420, with $19K on it, $22 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is last-train-2026, with $4.7K on it, $33 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $8.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
4% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.