Who's betting on “Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $13M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

45% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.

1,844 wallets hold a position worth $112K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,843 of them. The largest Yes holder is VorVZakone, with $21K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 41 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is xiamms, with $2.3K on it, $192 lifetime profit over 8 markets (75% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share
45%
Holders
845
Money on it
$104K
Holders' winrate
52%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
50%
Holders
999
Money on it
$8.2K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
VorVZakone$21K-$1.5M41% of 41
bee$13K-$8.9K49% of 176
thanks4playing$6.2K-$5.3K33% of 9
fsx45whale$4.7K+$81K71% of 399
11122noise$4.5K+$630K42% of 1,111
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
xiamms$2.3K+$19275% of 8
detox$720-$75K51% of 200
546857$429-$28855% of 22
0xnft888$237-$2890% of 21
Scott2526$204-$8825% of 56
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

1,844 wallets hold a position worth $112K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,843 of them. The largest Yes holder is VorVZakone, with $21K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 41 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is xiamms, with $2.3K on it, $192 lifetime profit over 8 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo