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Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $9.8M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $9.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

73% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

1,264 wallets hold a position worth $74K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,264 of them. The largest Yes holder is MrMarket, with $7.2K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 509 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is tugator, with $7.0K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 1,059 markets (48% won).

Yes2%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
73%
Holders
462
Money on it
$46K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money share
58%
Holders
802
Money on it
$28K
Holders' winrate
62%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
MrMarketwhale$7.2K+$18K69% of 509
11122noise$5.9K+$630K42% of 1,111
Brokiewhale$5.3K+$180K59% of 906
pizzabillgates$2.7K+$75K81% of 16
DisHorizons$2.1K-$26776% of 124
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
tugator$7.0K-$6.4K48% of 1,059
rdbawhale$6.9K+$485K71% of 248
xiamms$5.0K+$19275% of 8
0x4e25…d7a7whale$1.5K+$252K59% of 1,000
dushen009$545-$1.1K40% of 52
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

1,264 wallets hold a position worth $74K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,264 of them. The largest Yes holder is MrMarket, with $7.2K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 509 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is tugator, with $7.0K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 1,059 markets (48% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $9.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

73% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo