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Who's betting on “Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $414K volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $414K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

89% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 88 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 88 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.

254 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 253 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $312 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is paulpage, with $82 on it, $22 lifetime loss over 74 markets (8% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
89%
Holders
242
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
1%
Holders
12
Money on it
$260
Holders' winrate
16%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$312+$1.8M69% of 1,104
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$101+$15K77% of 22
J-E-Rwhale$94+$249K52% of 642
AnonymousUsernamewhale$83+$360K70% of 5,120
0x16cb…2704whale$71+$334K67% of 1,026
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
paulpage$82-$228% of 74
michaelfarmer$77-$1715% of 75
danielmccullough$70-$1014% of 86
HerbertMartinez429$11-$045% of 42
ClaraMann611$8-$032% of 44
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

254 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 253 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $312 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is paulpage, with $82 on it, $22 lifetime loss over 74 markets (8% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $414K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

89% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 88 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 88 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo