Who's betting on “Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?”?
Politics · $14M volume · Closed · Updated October 6, 2026
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $14M has been traded on it.
67% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
122 wallets hold a position worth $534 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them.
- Smart money share
- 67% ▲ 10 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $17
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 42% ▲ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $517
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
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- Belete Molla$32M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Berhanu Nega$30M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Demeke Mekonnen$29M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Abiy Ahmed$200K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?"?
122 wallets hold a position worth $534 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?"?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $14M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $14M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.