Who's betting on “Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?”?

Politics · $200K volume · Closed · Updated October 6, 2026

This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved Yes. $200K has been traded on it.

66% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

701 wallets hold a position worth $57K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 700 of them.

Yes100%
Smart money share
66% ▼ 7 pts 24 h
Holders
584
Money on it
$57K
Holders' winrate
84%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
83% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
117
Money on it
$96
Holders' winrate
66%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?"?

701 wallets hold a position worth $57K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 700 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?"?

This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved Yes. $200K has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

66% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved Yes. $200K has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo