Who's betting on “Kash Patel out by December 31?”?
Politics · $437K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $437K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
89% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
483 wallets hold a position worth $90K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 482 of them. The largest Yes holder is fElon, with $4.2K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 639 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is yen4u, with $12K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,342 markets (94% won).
- Smart money share
- 89%
- Holders
- 305
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 178
- Money on it
- $71K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| fElonwhale | $4.2K | +$10K | 88% of 639 |
| DirkDiggler67whale | $3.5K | +$133K | 58% of 1,061 |
| scottiliciouswhale | $1.7K | +$1.5M | 83% of 1,009 |
| Pondermintwhale | $1.1K | +$110K | 60% of 259 |
| aenews2whale | $914 | +$2.3M | 73% of 1,114 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| yen4uwhale | $12K | +$66K | 94% of 1,342 |
| Serega-pro | $10K | -$33K | 59% of 735 |
| cikcikcik | $6.7K | -$5.9K | 58% of 64 |
| ethBELIVERwhale | $3.9K | +$361K | 69% of 49 |
| jidho | $3.0K | -$2.0K | 20% of 5 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Kash Patel out by December 31?"?
483 wallets hold a position worth $90K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 482 of them. The largest Yes holder is fElon, with $4.2K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 639 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is yen4u, with $12K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,342 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Kash Patel out by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $437K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.