Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $597K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $597K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
66% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
498 wallets hold a position worth $233K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 493 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $18K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is lomneivan, with $60K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.6K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 315
- Money on it
- $122K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 2 · $3.6K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 183
- Money on it
- $111K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lastminwin | $18K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| HD45 | $7.4K | -$8.1K | 88% of 17 |
| realbengvirwhale | $6.6K | +$47K | 62% of 37 |
| Loyalty-Crashwhale | $5.2K | +$85K | 53% of 173 |
| TR422 | $4.7K | -$6.1K | 31% of 16 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivanwhale | $60K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| anoin123 | $27K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| JishWa | $2.9K | -$68K | 77% of 228 |
| Heskel2 | $2.8K | -$33K | 18% of 57 |
| mountaindewdwhale | $2.4K | +$150K | 68% of 631 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?"?
498 wallets hold a position worth $233K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 493 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $18K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is lomneivan, with $60K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $597K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.