Who's betting on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?
Politics · $9.3M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $9.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
56% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
1,779 wallets hold a position worth $160K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,776 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $19K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is DapperChapper, with $9.6K on it, $112K lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (66% won).
The insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $1.7K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 780
- Money on it
- $109K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $1.7K
- Smart money share
- 50%
- Holders
- 999
- Money on it
- $51K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooowhale | $19K | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| gopfan2whale | $12K | +$1.7M | 79% of 1,012 |
| EdwardVera | $11K | -$66 | 74% of 65 |
| Yoriichi77 | $6.6K | -$20K | 53% of 30 |
| 0x0742…1b48 | $5.8K | -$11K | 37% of 19 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| DapperChapperwhale | $9.6K | +$112K | 66% of 1,000 |
| lastminwin | $9.6K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| tsihkodiiveswhale | $4.8K | +$26K | 83% of 476 |
| 0x16cb…2704whale | $2.9K | +$334K | 67% of 1,026 |
| WALLYFIGHTS | $2.9K | -$112K | 73% of 387 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
1,779 wallets hold a position worth $160K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,776 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $19K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is DapperChapper, with $9.6K on it, $112K lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $9.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($1.7K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.