Who's betting on “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?”?
Politics · $1.0M volume · Closed · Updated October 16, 2026
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved Yes. $1.0M has been traded on it.
83% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
211 wallets hold a position worth $132K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them.
- Smart money share
- 83% ▼ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 118
- Money on it
- $132K
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 73% ▼ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $66
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31$455K vol.Yes 93%No 8%Smart money split
- October 21$64K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$24K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: No
- October 12$578K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 9$38K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- September 30$32K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?$32K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 18$21K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- September 25$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?"?
211 wallets hold a position worth $132K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved Yes. $1.0M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved Yes. $1.0M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.