Who's betting on “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?”?
Politics · $24K volume · Ends November 30, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
67% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
56 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is yen4u, with $4.8K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,341 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is BigRabbit, with $588 on it, $131K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (37% won).
- Smart money share
- 67%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $8.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 87%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 75% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| yen4uwhale | $4.8K | +$66K | 94% of 1,341 |
| GOLADS96 | $2.7K | -$365 | 76% of 55 |
| M2sx92kljs42whale | $656 | +$63K | 78% of 514 |
| ForeverRed | $40 | -$323 | 70% of 198 |
| 0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122affwhale | $38 | +$3.7K | 57% of 204 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BigRabbitnoise | $588 | +$131K | 37% of 1,058 |
| Umarothwhale | $509 | +$7.6K | 69% of 514 |
| eCashwhale | $495 | +$288K | 70% of 654 |
| PavtheGreat | $254 | -$2.4K | 52% of 287 |
| JoeyJokesAlot | $230 | -$1.1K | 67% of 9 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31$460K vol.Yes 94%No 7%Smart money split
- October 21$66K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- October 15$1.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 12$578K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 9$38K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- September 30$32K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?$32K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 18$21K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- September 25$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is yen4u, with $4.8K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,341 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is BigRabbit, with $588 on it, $131K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (37% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.