Who's betting on “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?”?
Politics · $66K volume · Ends October 21, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 21, 2026.
81% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
183 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 183 of them. The largest Yes holder is sdhyky, with $4.3K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is wienerdog, with $1 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 295 markets (56% won).
- Smart money share
- 81% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 138
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $7
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| sdhykywhale | $4.3K | +$47K | 60% of 1,087 |
| marchonnowwhale | $3.0K | +$249 | 71% of 175 |
| nonkenny90whale | $1.2K | +$75K | 93% of 1,376 |
| ssm86-X2p9 | $1000 | -$67K | 50% of 711 |
| justme003 | $804 | -$30K | 76% of 382 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| wienerdogwhale | $1 | +$26K | 56% of 295 |
| RememberAmalekwhale | $1 | +$837K | 73% of 1,102 |
| classifiedwhale | $1 | +$1.1M | 58% of 1,412 |
| 0x706fAf2A9B08ffac4A6F43f74F030084180D12b3-1768763760434 | $1 | -$190 | 0% of 1 |
| chessplayer | $1 | -$18K | 70% of 1,218 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31$455K vol.Yes 93%No 8%Smart money split
- November 30$24K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: No
- October 15$1.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 12$578K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 9$38K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- September 30$32K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?$32K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 18$21K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- September 25$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?"?
183 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 183 of them. The largest Yes holder is sdhyky, with $4.3K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is wienerdog, with $1 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 295 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 21, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 21, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.