Who's betting on “Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?”?
Politics · $3.1M volume · Ends June 3, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $3.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 3, 2026.
84% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
1,319 wallets hold a position worth $1.2M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,318 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $97K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $115K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $797 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $38K on No.
- Smart money share
- 84% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 842
- Money on it
- $721K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $797
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 477
- Money on it
- $499K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $38K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooowhale | $97K | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| bernardbulletinwhale | $77K | +$189K | 75% of 1,110 |
| Do-Not-Redeemwhale | $75K | +$357K | 73% of 1,083 |
| scottiliciouswhale | $59K | +$1.5M | 83% of 1,009 |
| 0xc8b9…b836whale | $21K | +$282K | 63% of 520 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| wan123whale | $115K | +$1.2M | 79% of 273 |
| lomneivanwhale | $78K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| anoin123 | $63K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| MemeKing20 | $51K | +$52K | 23% of 13 |
| defillama7sniper | $38K | +$448K | 88% of 51 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?"?
1,319 wallets hold a position worth $1.2M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,318 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $97K on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $115K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $3.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.