Who's betting on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Politics · $2.3M volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $2.3M has been traded on it.
72% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
886 wallets hold a position worth $944K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 877 of them.
- Smart money share
- 72% ▲ 15 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 472
- Money on it
- $944K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 414
- Money on it
- $263
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro$2.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Ratinho Júnior$750K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ronaldo Caiado$571K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Romeu Zema$422K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Augusto Cury$290K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tarcisio de Freitas$275K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Geraldo Alckmin$234K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Michelle Bolsonaro$229K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Camilo Santana$208K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Jair Bolsonaro$205K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eduardo Bolsonaro$174K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Aldo Rebelo$145K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eduardo Leite$142K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tereza Cristina$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Helder Barbalho$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
886 wallets hold a position worth $944K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 877 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $2.3M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $2.3M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.