Who's betting on “Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Politics · $571K volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $571K has been traded on it.
87% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
178 wallets hold a position worth $384 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 178 of them.
- Smart money share
- 87% ▲ 5 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 145
- Money on it
- $209
- Holders' winrate
- 44%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $174
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro$2.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$2.3M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Renan Santos$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Fernando Haddad$814K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ratinho Júnior$750K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Romeu Zema$422K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Augusto Cury$290K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tarcisio de Freitas$275K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Geraldo Alckmin$234K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Michelle Bolsonaro$229K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Camilo Santana$208K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Jair Bolsonaro$205K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eduardo Bolsonaro$174K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Aldo Rebelo$145K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eduardo Leite$142K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tereza Cristina$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Helder Barbalho$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place →
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
178 wallets hold a position worth $384 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 178 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $571K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $571K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.