Who's betting on “Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Politics · $381K volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $381K has been traded on it.
76% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
361 wallets hold a position worth $75K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 358 of them.
- Smart money share
- 76% ▲ 13 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 202
- Money on it
- $100
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 86% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 159
- Money on it
- $75K
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Renan Santos$991K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Romeu Zema$139K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ratinho Júnior$104K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$70K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pablo Marçal$69K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Eduardo Bolsonaro$46K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Fernando Haddad$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Michelle Bolsonaro$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tarcisio de Freitas$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Jair Bolsonaro$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Camilo Santana$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Geraldo Alckmin$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
361 wallets hold a position worth $75K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 358 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $381K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $381K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.