Who's betting on “Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Politics · $69K volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $69K has been traded on it.
86% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
119 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them.
- Smart money share
- 86% ▲ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $63
- Holders' winrate
- 42%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Renan Santos$991K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Augusto Cury$560K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Ronaldo Caiado$381K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Flávio Bolsonaro$157K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Romeu Zema$139K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ratinho Júnior$104K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$70K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eduardo Bolsonaro$46K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Fernando Haddad$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Michelle Bolsonaro$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tarcisio de Freitas$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Jair Bolsonaro$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Camilo Santana$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Geraldo Alckmin$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $69K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $69K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.