Who's betting on “Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Politics · $17K volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.
95% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
109 wallets hold a position worth $91 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them.
- Smart money share
- 95% ▲ 6 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 103
- Money on it
- $63
- Holders' winrate
- 38%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 79%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $28
- Holders' winrate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Renan Santos$991K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Augusto Cury$560K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Ronaldo Caiado$381K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Flávio Bolsonaro$157K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Romeu Zema$139K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ratinho Júnior$104K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$70K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pablo Marçal$69K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Eduardo Bolsonaro$46K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Fernando Haddad$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Michelle Bolsonaro$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Jair Bolsonaro$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Camilo Santana$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Geraldo Alckmin$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place →
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $91 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.