Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $519K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $519K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
63% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
413 wallets hold a position worth $315K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 410 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $31K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is lomneivan, with $86K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $623 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $116 on No.
- Smart money share
- 63%
- Holders
- 307
- Money on it
- $137K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 2 · $623
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 91%
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $178K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $116
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lastminwin | $31K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| tetrosewhale | $16K | +$210K | 55% of 565 |
| Railcoolwhale | $11K | +$125K | 74% of 145 |
| supersmardwhale | $7.7K | +$77K | 61% of 114 |
| BigRabbitnoise | $7.5K | +$131K | 37% of 1,058 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivanwhale | $86K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| wan123whale | $22K | +$1.2M | 79% of 273 |
| MemeKing20 | $19K | +$52K | 23% of 13 |
| anoin123 | $13K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| flawfencewhale | $9.6K | +$477K | 75% of 478 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?"?
413 wallets hold a position worth $315K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 410 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $31K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is lomneivan, with $86K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $519K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.