Who's betting on “Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?”?
Politics · $335K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $335K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
60% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
390 wallets hold a position worth $138K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 383 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x87827FEafc2198fa88be0510997b794bc79075e4-1791804936456, with $17K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is LuckyBaskar, with $5.7K on it, $56 lifetime profit over 6 markets (33% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $9.0K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 60% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 260
- Money on it
- $109K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $9.0K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 91%
- Holders
- 130
- Money on it
- $29K
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x87827FEafc2198fa88be0510997b794bc79075e4-1791804936456 | $17K | +$0 | - |
| LetsGoBirds | $17K | -$10 | - |
| JokerTheClownsniper | $9.0K | +$60K | 68% of 1,654 |
| Newswires | $6.8K | +$0 | 100% of 1 |
| mr.oziwhale | $6.3K | +$763K | 65% of 1,071 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| LuckyBaskar | $5.7K | +$56 | 33% of 6 |
| FaroeseNationalistwhale | $3.4K | +$51K | 49% of 956 |
| 0x0a9D67c129748160b6e222F93dF02981b6D27bB7-1750476470041 | $3.0K | +$717 | 83% of 6 |
| SaylorMoonwhale | $3.0K | +$488K | 52% of 1,079 |
| 0x4488…e319whale | $2.8K | +$661K | 54% of 1,169 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
- Brad Bradford$259K vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- Marco Mendicino$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- John Tory$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Michael Ford$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anthony Furey$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kevin Clarke$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Ana Bailão$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
390 wallets hold a position worth $138K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 383 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x87827FEafc2198fa88be0510997b794bc79075e4-1791804936456, with $17K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is LuckyBaskar, with $5.7K on it, $56 lifetime profit over 6 markets (33% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $335K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.