Who's betting on “Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?”?
Politics · $13K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
94% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 89 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 89 points. A week ago, Yes by 88 points.
109 wallets hold a position worth $145 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $5 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 74,403 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is heyoguys, with $92 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 37 markets (84% won).
- Smart money share
- 94%
- Holders
- 105
- Money on it
- $49
- Holders' winrate
- 38%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 4%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $96
- Holders' winrate
- 82%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| e46m3whale | $5 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,403 |
| 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579noise | $4 | +$27K | 8% of 25,696 |
| Lucerysnoise | $4 | +$282K | 40% of 107,534 |
| donthackmenoise | $4 | +$914K | 29% of 69,947 |
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $3 | +$593K | 32% of 105,072 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| heyoguys | $92 | -$1.4K | 84% of 37 |
| productswhale | $4 | +$28K | 48% of 1,149 |
| 0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847 | $0 | -$4.0K | 87% of 288 |
| sebelmaestro | $0 | -$8.5K | 0% of 422 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
- Olivia Chow$337K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: No
- Brad Bradford$267K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: No
- Marco Mendicino$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- John Tory$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Michael Ford$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anthony Furey$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kevin Clarke$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $145 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $5 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 74,403 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is heyoguys, with $92 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 37 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 89 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 89 points. A week ago, Yes by 88 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.