Who's betting on “Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?”?
Politics · $17K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
93% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
102 wallets hold a position worth $54 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $5 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 74,403 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is products, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,149 markets (48% won).
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $49
- Holders' winrate
- 38%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 95%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' winrate
- 49%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| e46m3whale | $5 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,403 |
| 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579noise | $4 | +$27K | 8% of 25,696 |
| Lucerysnoise | $4 | +$282K | 40% of 107,642 |
| donthackmenoise | $4 | +$914K | 29% of 69,972 |
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $3 | +$601K | 32% of 105,866 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| productswhale | $4 | +$28K | 48% of 1,149 |
| Hourglassnoise | $0 | +$167K | 39% of 2,866 |
| 0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847 | $0 | -$4.0K | 87% of 288 |
| i18znoise | $0 | +$62K | 31% of 314 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
- Olivia Chow$337K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: No
- Brad Bradford$267K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: No
- Marco Mendicino$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Michael Ford$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Anthony Furey$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kevin Clarke$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Ana Bailão$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $54 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is e46m3, with $5 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 74,403 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is products, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,149 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.