Who's betting on “Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?”?
Politics · $267K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $267K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
72% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
294 wallets hold a position worth $74K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 290 of them. The largest Yes holder is SaylorMoon, with $9.1K on it, $488K lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is GrokEnjoyer, with $3.5K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 845 markets (52% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $541 on No.
- Smart money share
- 72% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 186
- Money on it
- $50K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 81% ▼ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $541
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| SaylorMoonwhale | $9.1K | +$488K | 52% of 1,080 |
| 0x63bf…e319whale | $7.5K | +$11K | 51% of 200 |
| FaroeseNationalistwhale | $3.7K | +$50K | 49% of 956 |
| Miinko1 | $3.1K | -$4.9K | 75% of 4 |
| Grapoorrrr | $3.1K | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| GrokEnjoyerwhale | $3.5K | +$13K | 52% of 845 |
| GollumGekkowhale | $2.9K | +$281K | 73% of 1,157 |
| eightpenguinswhale | $2.4K | +$301K | 72% of 520 |
| lissartter | $2.1K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| TruongMyLanwhale | $2.1K | +$96K | 51% of 1,023 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
294 wallets hold a position worth $74K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 290 of them. The largest Yes holder is SaylorMoon, with $9.1K on it, $488K lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is GrokEnjoyer, with $3.5K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 845 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $267K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.