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Who's betting on “Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $6.3M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $6.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

71% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

575 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 575 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brokie, with $2.6K on it, $180K lifetime profit over 906 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is trumbbb, with $992 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 59 markets (68% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
71%
Holders
350
Money on it
$21K
Holders' winrate
62%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
26% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
225
Money on it
$4.4K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Brokiewhale$2.6K+$180K59% of 906
laganza$2.4K+$3.5K100% of 2
peasantwhale$2.2K+$93K54% of 200
TangledUpInBluewhale$1.6K+$18K52% of 397
pizzabillgates$1.6K+$75K81% of 16
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
trumbbb$992-$1.2K68% of 59
Lily003pepe$250-$63247% of 36
ghorrockwhale$246+$7.8K64% of 30,141
Michael0jyf$204-$1340% of 25
Robert8Robert$201-$2039% of 28
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

575 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 575 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brokie, with $2.6K on it, $180K lifetime profit over 906 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is trumbbb, with $992 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 59 markets (68% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $6.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo