Who's betting on “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $712K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $712K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
35% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
790 wallets hold a position worth $140K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 772 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xbaFba9a1F11f68692f42349b04A0A5452eF12468-1772375318083, with $523 on it, $575 lifetime profit over 26 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is MisTKy, with $13K on it, $324K lifetime profit over 1,325 markets (62% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $101 on No.
- Smart money share
- 35% ▲ 5 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 363
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83% ▲ 5 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 427
- Money on it
- $135K
- Holders' winrate
- 72%
- Snipers
- 1 · $101
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbaFba9a1F11f68692f42349b04A0A5452eF12468-1772375318083noise | $523 | +$575 | 27% of 26 |
| fledger | $355 | -$184 | 80% of 30 |
| 0x832D27C7C3e22a1A806B889cedE0Ad63ff42B47D-1729185243136 | $321 | -$2.2K | 87% of 30 |
| wykchem | $215 | -$1.8K | 40% of 5 |
| Crypto1Mark | $197 | -$361 | 41% of 200 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?"?
790 wallets hold a position worth $140K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 772 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xbaFba9a1F11f68692f42349b04A0A5452eF12468-1772375318083, with $523 on it, $575 lifetime profit over 26 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is MisTKy, with $13K on it, $324K lifetime profit over 1,325 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $712K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.